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Obama Clinton split states, again

From Santosh On 21 May 2008 View Comments

The ongoing primary duel between Obama and Clinton reminds me of a tennis match with Obama up 2 sets to 1, and on duece in the clinching game for Obama. Then the score goes Duece-Advantage Obama-Duece-Advantage Obama-and on and on. People are ready for the game to conclude and Obama to play the championship game with McCain. Yet Clinton refuses to concede even though she is faced with a near insurmountable task. In case you missed it, Obama and Clinton split Oregon and Kentucky respectively. [CNN]

Here’s some quick notes from the contest:
- Obama has won a majority of pledged delegates almost ensuring his victory in the primaries.
- Clinton will not concede defeat, which while a debatable decision, is well within her rights.
- Obama started off with a win in Iowa, a primarily white state. But somewhere along the line, perhaps as the contest moved South, Obama seems to have lost favor with working class whites. It will be hard for Obama to win the general elections without carrying at least a few heartland states.
- Somewhere McCain is smiling and continuing to pile up money for his run in the general elections, most likely against Obama
- Obama stuck with the Democrat Party rank and file and ignored Michigan and Florida. Being that these two states can swing either way and have been major deciding factors in elections past, was this a wise decision?
- Speaking of which Obama is campaigning in Florida tonight, right down the road from where I live. But with a $250 entry fee to the event, I think I’ll pass.

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  • Runa
    Santosh,
    I believe that the poll questions was :
    "Did race matter in your vote?" and not
    "Did you vote against Obama because of his race?".A subtle difference but it affects totally the answers and therefore the way the results are analyzed. I am very hesitant to brand people as racist because of their voting patterns - it dilutes the power of the label"racist" and backfires to the extent that people will stop caring about being branded racist.
  • I don’t see how voting for an AA candidate because you are AA is any less racist than voting for a white candidate because you are white or voting for an (insert race here) candidate because you are (insert race here)


    From what I gathered about the Obama-WV situation it is the other way round. People did not vote for Clinton because she was white, rather chose to vote against Obama because of his race. I even vaguely remember a few interviews to that effect on news channels with people saying they picked Clinton because they were uncomfortable with Obama's race. Voting against someone because of their race, over all other issues, is clearly racist.
  • Patrix,
    All he has to do is to win Ohio or Florida.


    Therein, lies the conundrum for Obama. Clinton won Ohio and even though Florida did not count, a lot of Democrats in Florida are really ticked off at him for ignoring their state. Perhaps there is enough time between now and November to heal those wounds.
    I agree largely regarding the heartland states, except Kentucky. No Democrat after JFK has won the generals without winning Kentucky. Is that just a stat or a crucial state, I'm not sure. I'm frankly surprised Obama is not doing well there considering his campaign started with a victory in 90something% white Iowa.
  • Runa
    esp.the racists ones like WV


    This is why I have a problem with identity politics. I don't see how voting for an AA candidate because you are AA is any less racist than voting for a white candidate because you are white or voting for an (insert race here) candidate because you are (insert race here)
  • I don't think Obama needs the heartland states esp.the racists ones like WV. All he has to do is to win Ohio or Florida. It always boils down to those swing states thanks to the winner-take-all electoral college votes.
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